Search results for "Econometric models"

showing 4 items of 4 documents

Latvijas maksājumu bilances ekonometriskā analīze un prognozēšana

2005

Ekonomiskā analīzeTekošais kontsNacionālais uzkrājums:SOCIAL SCIENCES::Business and economics::Economics::Econometrics [Research Subject Categories]Maksājumu bilance (Latvija)Maksājumu bilanceImportsEksportsInvestīcijasBalance of paymentEconometric models
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The macroeconomic effects of public investment: Evidence from advanced economies

2015

This paper provides new evidence of the macroeconomic effects of public investment in advanced economies. Using public investment forecast errors to identify the causal effect of government investment in a sample of 17 OECD economies since 1985 and model simulations, the paper finds that increased public investment raises output, both in the short term and in the long term, crowds in private investment, and reduces unemployment. Several factors shape the macroeconomic effects of public investment. When there is economic slack and monetary accommodation, demand effects are stronger, and the public-debt-to-GDP ratio may actually decline. Public investment is also more effective in boosting ou…

MacroeconomicsEconomics and EconometricsInvestment strategymedia_common.quotation_subjectGross private domestic investmentPublic policyMonetary economicsForeign direct investmentGrowthDebtSupply and demandDebtReturn on investment0502 economics and businessEconomics050207 economicsOpen-ended investment companyInvestment performancePublic investmentGeneral Environmental Sciencemedia_common050208 finance05 social sciencesEconometric models;Developed countries;Public investment;Infrastructure;OECD;Fiscal policy;Time series;Growth Debt investment private investment capital Demand and Supply Energy and the Macroeconomy Government Policy Debt.Investment (macroeconomics)Fiscal policyEconometric modelUnemploymentGeneral Earth and Planetary SciencesUmbrella fundPublic financeFiscal policy
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The Impact of Population Ageing and Social Stratification: The Case of Latvia

2019

Population ageing and social stratification is widely assumed to have detrimental effects on the economy yet there is little empirical evidence about the magnitude of its effects. The aim of this article is to investigate the relationships between population ageing and social stratification and the state of economy of a small and post-transition economy. We are looking for these relationships and their strength of influence; at what time after shocking these variables reach their original levels. We apply standard Granger (non-) causality tests, VAR (Vector Auto-Regressive), IRF (Impulse Response Function) and the prediction error variance analysis by using quarterly data from 2000 to 2018.…

Population ageingEconomic development -- Econometric models03 medical and health sciencesPrediction error variance0302 clinical medicinepost-transition economy0502 economics and businessPer capitaEconomicssmall and open economy030212 general & internal medicineEmpirical evidenceLabor supply -- LatviaPopulation ageingSocial stratification -- Latviapopulation social stratification05 social sciencesGeneral Business Management and AccountingCausalitySocial stratificationPopulation aging -- Latvia:SOCIAL SCIENCES::Business and economics::Economics [Research Subject Categories]Demographic economicsLatvia -- Economic policyGeneral Economics Econometrics and Finance050212 sport leisure & tourism
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Determining Factors of High Social Connotation Crimes in the Metropolitan Region. A logistic model analysis.

2018

Resumen Las iniciativas enfocadas sólo en acciones de control policial, si bien elevan la percepción de seguridad, no actúan sobre las causas multifactoriales de un problema social dinámico y complejo. Por ende, se deben desarrollar medidas de prevención y de control, las que requieren la participación activa, sinérgica y coordinada de todos los actores involucrados en materia de seguridad pública, para disminuir los factores de riesgo que derivan en el actuar criminal. El objetivo de este trabajo es medir la incidencia de factores espaciales, temporales y elementos de contexto que caracterizan a las comunas de la Región Metropolitana de Chile (2014), en la probabilidad de ocurrencia de del…

social factors of criminalityfactores de la criminalidadfactores sociales de la criminalidadCrime preventionfactors of criminalityeconometric modelsfactores condicionantes de la victimizaciónPrevención del delitomodelos econométricosfactors determining victimization
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